Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.472601 4.013582 4.613861 5.329837 6.161306 7.097373 8.232444
2024-10-06 2.977058 3.742968 4.668825 5.872716 7.400401 9.279204 11.772856
2024-10-13 2.506368 3.390656 4.542535 6.158263 8.375344 11.324305 15.567082
2024-10-20 2.100281 3.032982 4.331774 6.281932 9.153582 13.254424 19.604686
2024-10-27 1.693679 2.592218 3.920207 6.039740 9.365540 14.429974 22.814509
2024-11-03 1.516540 2.450166 3.908808 6.373911 10.480096 17.123671 28.842596
2024-11-10 1.385549 2.353127 3.944427 6.780355 11.774558 20.325988 36.335796
2024-11-17 1.244388 2.212318 3.880987 7.003902 12.793840 23.242791 43.921016
2024-11-24 1.094331 2.028894 3.711287 7.005125 13.409435 25.544423 50.832421
2024-12-01 0.938038 1.807233 3.435290 6.757786 13.507619 26.887311 56.139460
2024-12-08 0.804589 1.606537 3.165216 6.471912 13.471638 27.947210 61.059795
2024-12-15 0.731089 1.511600 3.084437 6.550442 14.189913 30.661859 70.064089
2024-12-22 0.646159 1.384428 2.928118 6.465069 14.591428 32.883119 78.708467
2024-12-29 0.616237 1.369261 3.004475 6.904071 16.254867 38.257864 96.084418
2025-01-05 0.569176 1.308730 2.972908 7.094425 17.385548 42.643360 112.122114
2025-01-12 0.517847 1.229957 2.887442 7.142660 18.185750 46.403341 127.495898
2025-01-19 0.449843 1.100596 2.662854 6.808186 17.954999 47.515708 135.977812
2025-01-26 0.428208 1.080879 2.699655 7.147379 19.565602 53.822474 160.853044
2025-02-02 0.412511 1.073504 2.766055 7.578330 21.520465 61.505294 191.870891
2025-02-09 0.388426 1.040267 2.760327 7.811488 22.967175 68.065541 221.191698
2025-02-16 0.356438 0.980543 2.674371 7.801525 23.699546 72.678279 245.473499
2025-02-23 0.317592 0.895597 2.505648 7.518066 23.542442 74.532033 260.969413
2025-03-02 0.282009 0.814262 2.334124 7.194596 23.194648 75.710850 274.451386